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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1525886

Premier League·
FC Vitebsk crest
FC VitebskHOME
2:3
Match Finished
HT 0-3
Baranovichi crest
BaranovichiAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 11:00 UTCCentralnyj Stadion15°CRefereeE. Naumov◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Home

FC Vitebsk

80%

Draw

Draw

14%

Away

Baranovichi

6%

Model call: FC Vitebsk

Expected goals: 1.7—0.4(total 2.1)
Upset risk: 2/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

FC Vitebsk

2

FT

Baranovichi

3

Model called (T−24h)

FC Vitebsk (80%)

Actually happened

Baranovichi (6%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

FC Vitebsk

3-4-2-1
  1. N. GoyloG
  2. Player 268990D
  3. Player 97642D
  4. Player 645976D
  5. Player 8037M
  6. Player 7844M
  7. Player 546459M
  8. Player 460128D
  9. Player 613169
  10. Player 7939M
  11. Player 43553F

Baranovichi

4-2-3-1
  1. D. ShapkoG
  2. Player 432743D
  3. Player 591455D
  4. Player 323450D
  5. Player 107513D
  6. Player 204244M
  7. Player 8303M
  8. Player 8048F
  9. Player 550657F
  10. Player 563142F
  11. Player 7955F

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.

Corners

Analytics not yet available for this match

Cards

Expected total
3.7expected cards
Average ref
Home 1.5Away 2.2
Over 4.5 cards32%
Over 5.5 cards17%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

dd4cffe7c2c2c6161b045d18fa3418a7389c57cdf5f48cd886f8e05b9ae5f123
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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