SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1527837
◆ SPX Quant Forecast
Outcome Probabilities
Confidence 2 out of 5 confidenceHome
Kaluga
45%
Draw
Draw
23%
Away
Irtysh Omsk
32%
Lean: Kaluga
Probability Evolution
How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle
Kaluga
0
Irtysh Omsk
0
Model called (T−24h)
Kaluga (45%)
Actually happened
Draw (23%)
Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.
Match Analysis
Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.
SPX xG
ⓘLineup Analysis
Kaluga
Player 202298
Player 550202
Player 560004
E. Lukinykh
Player 569267
Player 271672
Player 270057
Player 550209
Player 560006
Player 559998
Player 576583
Irtysh Omsk
A. Savin
Player 127281
Player 511421
Player 553004
Player 149716
Player 43631
Player 149710
Player 139791
Player 53632
Player 130291
Player 392881
Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.
Post-Match Deep Analytics
Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.
Lineup Absence Impact
Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff
SPX Quant Engine
Beyond Match Outcome
Predictions not yet available for this match
SPX Quant Engine
Shot Creation Profile
Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.
SPX Quant Engine
Shot Quality
Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture
SPX Quant Engine
Pass Network
Pass network data unavailable for this fixture
SPX Quant Engine
Integrity Lock
This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.
Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.