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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1527838

Second League A - Division A Gold·
Mashuk-KMV crest
Mashuk-KMVHOME
2:0
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Novosibirsk crest
NovosibirskAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 12:00 UTCCentral Stadium13°C◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 2 out of 5 confidence

Home

Mashuk-KMV

42%

Draw

Draw

23%

Away

Novosibirsk

35%

Lean: Mashuk-KMV

Expected goals: 1.1—0.9(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 5/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Mashuk-KMV

2

FT

Novosibirsk

0

Model called (T−24h)

Mashuk-KMV (42%)

Actually happened

Mashuk-KMV (42%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Mashuk-KMV

  1. V. Shaykhutdinov
  2. Player 150124
  3. Player 162828
  4. Player 53641
  5. Player 116131
  6. Player 565848
  7. Player 268619
  8. Player 202204
  9. Player 43568
  10. Player 561780
  11. Player 561732

Novosibirsk

  1. Player 43779
  2. G. Zotov
  3. Player 43482
  4. Player 43639
  5. M. Karaev
  6. Player 98535
  7. Player 561794
  8. Player 565842
  9. Player 562289
  10. Player 562293
  11. D. Nikitin

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

b9c85f78cada9afce22b86217d3efe71229141aaafdb819f73c5072c78215599
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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