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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1527839

Second League A - Division A Gold·
Tekstilshchik crest
TekstilshchikHOME
0:2
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Leningradets crest
LeningradetsAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 12:00 UTCStadion Tekstilshchik14°C◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 1 out of 5 confidence

Home

Tekstilshchik

39%

Draw

Draw

23%

Away

Leningradets

38%

Lean: Tekstilshchik · close call (2pp margin)

Expected goals: 1.0—1.0(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 5/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

Tekstilshchik

0

FT

Leningradets

2

Model called (T−24h)

Tekstilshchik (40%)

Actually happened

Leningradets (38%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Tekstilshchik

  1. Player 317937
  2. Player 43556
  3. A. Evdokimov
  4. Player 43512
  5. Player 141181
  6. Player 543652
  7. Player 43522
  8. Player 146027
  9. V. Azarov
  10. D. Anosov
  11. Player 215568

Leningradets

  1. Player 562295
  2. Player 358906
  3. Player 565870
  4. Player 43346
  5. Player 562294
  6. Player 125634
  7. V. Levin
  8. Player 53579
  9. Player 565861
  10. Player 150060
  11. Player 565852

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.

Corners

Expected total
9.4expected corners
Home 5.2Away 4.2
Over 9.5 corners47%
Over 10.5 corners34%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

Cards

Expected total
4.2expected cards
Average ref
Home 2.0Away 2.2
Over 4.5 cards41%
Over 5.5 cards25%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

a029c44e4f24622e9a0b393ef54cdfaecbd457c9c842006d4b49690a4bcdf447
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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