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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1529248

Tasmania NPL·
Clarence Zebras crest
Clarence ZebrasHOME
2:1
Match Finished
HT 1-1
South East Utd. crest
South East Utd.AWAY
Sun, May 31 · 04:30 UTC◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Clarence Zebras

53%

Draw

Draw

16%

Away

South East Utd.

31%

Model call: Clarence Zebras

Expected goals: 1.20.8(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 4/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Clarence Zebras

2

FT

South East Utd.

1

Model called (T−24h)

Clarence Zebras (52%)

Actually happened

Clarence Zebras (52%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

Starting XI not yet confirmed — lineups land roughly an hour before kickoff and this report updates automatically.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

5ac6d12a5ec0dcb152c504d4a8be2ac675379c938de5ca1f569b5b8b0e9e1026
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.