SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1534319
◆ SPX Quant Forecast
Outcome Probabilities
Confidence 5 out of 5 confidenceHome
Smorgon
8%
Draw
Draw
12%
Away
Lida
80%
Model call: Lida
Probability Evolution
How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle
Smorgon
4
Lida
4
Model called (T−24h)
Lida (80%)
Actually happened
Draw (12%)
Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.
Match Analysis
Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.
SPX xG
ⓘLineup Analysis
Smorgon
A. Denisenko
Player 563204
Player 563297
Player 207859
Player 563247
Player 436226
Player 8390
Player 108272
Player 357606
Player 372546
Player 239870
Lida
Player 8269
Player 7884
A. Legchilin
Player 653197
Player 76302
Player 563092
Player 552688
Player 561911
Player 238586
Player 563167
Player 8023
Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.
Post-Match Deep Analytics
Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.
Lineup Absence Impact
Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff
SPX Quant Engine
Beyond Match Outcome
Predictions not yet available for this match
SPX Quant Engine
Shot Creation Profile
Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.
SPX Quant Engine
Shot Quality
Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture
SPX Quant Engine
Pass Network
Pass network data unavailable for this fixture
SPX Quant Engine
Integrity Lock
This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.
Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.