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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1538999

World Cup·Group Stage - 1
South Korea crest
South KoreaHOME
2:1
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Czech Republic crest
Czech RepublicAWAY
Fri, Jun 12 · 02:00 UTCEstadio Akron, Guadalajara23°CRefereeAmin Mohamed Omar, Egypt◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Graded call · locked before kickoff

South Korea (52%)✓ Hit

Home

South Korea

98%

Draw

Draw

2%

Away

Czech Republic

0%

Model call: South Korea

Expected goals: 2.1—1.1(total 3.1)
Upset risk: 5/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 12

South Korea

2

FT

Czech Republic

1

Model called (T−24h)

South Korea (97%)

Actually happened

South Korea (97%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

South Korea

3-4-2-1
  1. Kim Seung-GyuG
  2. Lee Gi-HyukD
  3. Min-jae KimD
  4. Lee Han-BeomD
  5. Lee Tae-SukM
  6. Paik Seung-HoM
  7. Hwang In-BeomM
  8. Seol Yung-WooM
  9. Lee Jae-SungF
  10. Lee Kang-InF
  11. Son Heung-MinF

Czech Republic

3-4-2-1
  1. M. KovářG
  2. L. KrejčíD
  3. R. HranáčD
  4. Stepan ChaloupekD
  5. J. ZelenyM
  6. Alexandr SojkaM
  7. T. SoučekM
  8. V. CoufalM
  9. L. ProvodF
  10. P. ŠulcF
  11. P. SchickF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-11T04:30:10.423Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

1d193f477ae1ec49e56986195908883f916b0f3532e6d9abfe09cd82d7d687ea
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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