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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1539010

World Cup·Group Stage - 3
Czechia crest
CzechiaHOME
0:3
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Mexico crest
MexicoAWAY
Thu, Jun 25 · 01:00 UTCEstadio Azteca, Mexico City18°CRefereeYael Falcon Perez, Argentina

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AI Match Report · Engine Read

48 hours out the Engine leaned Czechia (37%) in a close call. It finished 0-3, a Mexico win — a miss on a fixture the model itself read as far from settled.

What we grade: only the forecast locked before kickoff — the number we cryptographically commit to. That was Czechia (a lean, not a strong call), so this match is a miss in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

Czechia

3-4-2-1
  1. M. KovářG
  2. L. KrejčíD
  3. R. HranáčD
  4. T. HolešD
  5. D. DouděraM
  6. L. ČervM
  7. M. SadílekM
  8. V. CoufalM
  9. D. VišinskýF
  10. P. ŠulcF
  11. A. HložekF

Mexico

4-3-3
  1. R. RangelG
  2. M. Chavez GarciaD
  3. C. MontesD
  4. I. ReyesD
  5. J. SanchezD
  6. L. RomoM
  7. E. AlvarezM
  8. G. MoraM
  9. J. QuinonesF
  10. G. MartinezF
  11. R. AlvaradoF

Mexico named a modestly stronger XI than its recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is an Engine Room feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-20T17:15:27.499Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

36acd230483f3a3506f4ebe2d46b59f134940d9acff1f4389f7082b4f7696c15
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.