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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1539017

World Cup·Group Stage - 2
France crest
FranceHOME
3:0
Match Finished
HT 1-0
Iraq crest
IraqAWAY
Mon, Jun 22 · 21:00 UTCLincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia34°CRefereeDrew Fischer, CanadaSPX: FranceHit
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AI Match Report · Engine Read

48 hours out the Engine favored France (61%), and the live read grew to 100% by the 75-minute checkpoint as the match bore it out. Final: 3-0, a France win.

What we grade: only the forecast locked before kickoff — the number we cryptographically commit to. That was France, so this match is a hit in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.

Player Performance

final match ratings

France

Kylian Mbappé
Kylian Mbappé(C)

F · 89'

⚽ 2
9.3
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé

M · 68'

⚽ 1🎯 1
8.6
Dayot Upamecano
8.2

Iraq

Akam Hashem
Akam Hashem

D · 90'

7.2
Marko Farji
Marko Farji

M · 21'

7.2
Zidane Iqbal
Zidane Iqbal

M · 90'

6.9

Official per-player match ratings from post-match data — descriptive, not a model output.

◆ Similar Matches

historical record

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

France

4-2-3-1
  1. M. MaignanG
  2. L. DigneD
  3. W. SalibaD
  4. D. UpamecanoD
  5. J. KoundeD
  6. A. RabiotM
  7. M. KoneM
  8. B. BarcolaM
  9. M. OliseM
  10. O. DembeleM
  11. K. MbappeF

Iraq

4-1-4-1
  1. A. BasilG
  2. M. DoskiD
  3. A. HashemD
  4. Z. TahseenD
  5. H. AliD
  6. A. Al AmmariM
  7. I. BayeshM
  8. Z. IqbalM
  9. Z. IsmaeelM
  10. A. QasemM
  11. A. HusseinF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-20T17:13:32.501Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

34fad29a0ebdc517dfc289ac9f8f4ab6962ac6c377d9774effad73c469d468a9
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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