Skip to main content
← All reports

SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1540169

UEFA U17 Championship·
Belgium U17 crest
Belgium U17HOME
1:0
Match Finished
HT 1-0
Estonia U17 crest
Estonia U17AWAY
Sun, May 31 · 11:30 UTCA. Le Coq Arena23°C◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Home

Belgium U17

74%

Draw

Draw

12%

Away

Estonia U17

14%

Model call: Belgium U17

Expected goals: 1.6—0.5(total 2.1)
Upset risk: 2/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Belgium U17

1

FT

Estonia U17

0

Model called (T−24h)

Belgium U17 (71%)

Actually happened

Belgium U17 (71%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Belgium U17

  1. L. Piselé
  2. Player 570653
  3. Player 570826
  4. Player 483128
  5. Player 570817
  6. Player 650529
  7. Player 570255
  8. Player 650475
  9. K. Nga
  10. Player 655011
  11. Player 570654

Estonia U17

  1. Player 552836
  2. Player 538879
  3. Player 552831
  4. Player 556433
  5. Player 636340
  6. Player 552837
  7. Player 552807
  8. Player 538853
  9. Andero Kaares
  10. Player 633098
  11. Player 492880

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

2502a8c7b772c1d3d350c835b7bcb8ab963b2350dfffad86a076f0a1fcc4350f
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.

How the model works →