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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1542184

Friendlies·Friendly International
Austria crest
AustriaHOME
0:0
Match Finished
Guatemala crest
GuatemalaAWAY
Thu, Jun 11 · 04:00 UTCRose Bowl, ◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Graded call · locked before kickoff

Austria (53%)✗ Miss

Home

Austria

53%

Draw

Draw

27%

Away

Guatemala

20%

Model call: Austria

Expected goals: 4.40.4(total 4.8)
Upset risk: 4/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
Match CancelledLogged Jun 11 · No verdict

This match was cancelled and never played. (API status: "Match Cancelled")

This analytics report is excluded from the model's hit-rate calculation — there was no on-pitch result to grade against. The report itself is still hash-locked and visible above; only the verdict is unavailable.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

Austria

XI not yet confirmed.

Guatemala

XI not yet confirmed.

Lineup-strength edge unavailable for this fixture.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-10T04:30:30.176Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

62f240a012f9f92d7bda914b26b327c7241fd2fd1e6b17e0433c32852bd419e8
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.