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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1543211

Primera División·
Deportivo La Guaira crest
Deportivo La GuairaHOME
0:2
Match Finished
HT 0-1
Puerto Cabello crest
Puerto CabelloAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 00:00 UTCEstadio Olímpico de la UCV◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 4 out of 5 confidence

Home

Deportivo La Guaira

60%

Draw

Draw

24%

Away

Puerto Cabello

16%

Model call: Deportivo La Guaira

Expected goals: 1.4—0.6(total 2.1)
Upset risk: 4/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

Deportivo La Guaira

0

FT

Puerto Cabello

2

Model called (T−24h)

Deportivo La Guaira (60%)

Actually happened

Puerto Cabello (16%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira

  1. Player 565541
  2. Player 565385
  3. G. Ortiz
  4. M. Gianoli
  5. Player 52967
  6. J. Castellanos
  7. Player 329535
  8. Player 565434
  9. Player 52463
  10. Player 6594
  11. F. Londoño

Puerto Cabello

  1. J. Graterol
  2. Player 52707
  3. G. Meléndez
  4. Player 378312
  5. R. Rosales
  6. Player 52443
  7. J. Moreno
  8. Player 52588
  9. R. Flores
  10. A. Ponce
  11. Player 146661

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Key absentees and how unbalanced the missing-star count is between sides.

Deportivo La Guaira
0stars missing
Puerto Cabello
0stars missing

Deportivo La Guaira · key absences

No notable absences reported

Puerto Cabello · key absences

No notable absences reported

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Beyond Match Outcome

Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.

Corners

Expected total
9.2expected corners
Home 4.3Away 5.0
Over 9.5 corners44%
Over 10.5 corners32%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

Cards

Expected total
4.0expected cards
Average ref
Home 1.9Away 2.1
Over 4.5 cards38%
Over 5.5 cards22%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

561336d83eeb1fa8068b7d14a09c029a2d444047d654a800af6a9e179471c361
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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