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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1545263

Friendlies·
South Korea crest
South KoreaHOME
5:0
Match Finished
HT 2-0
Trinidad and Tobago crest
Trinidad and TobagoAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 01:00 UTCBYU South Field24°CRefereeVictor Rivas, USA◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Home

South Korea

74%

Draw

Draw

17%

Away

Trinidad and Tobago

9%

Model call: South Korea

Expected goals: 1.6—0.4(total 2.1)
Upset risk: 2/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

South Korea

5

FT

Trinidad and Tobago

0

Model called (T−24h)

South Korea (73%)

Actually happened

South Korea (73%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

South Korea

3-4-2-1
  1. Jo Hyeon-WooG
  2. Lee Gi-HyukD
  3. Cho Yu-MinD
  4. Lee Han-BeomD
  5. Jens CastropM
  6. Paik Seung-HoM
  7. Kim Jin-KyuM
  8. Kim Moon-HwanM
  9. Lee Dong-GyeongF
  10. Bae Joon-HoF
  11. Son Heung-MinF

Trinidad and Tobago

  1. Player 575304G
  2. D. PayneD
  3. K. HenryD
  4. K. NgwenyaD
  5. Player 71349D
  6. D. PhillipsM
  7. Player 301326M
  8. D. SealyM
  9. M. KhanM
  10. Judah GarcíaM
  11. R. MitchellF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Key absentees and how unbalanced the missing-star count is between sides.

South Korea
2stars missing
Trinidad and Tobago
0stars missing

South Korea · key absences

  • Lee Jae-Sung

    Midfielder · 279 days out

    7.02

  • Hwang In-Beom

    Midfielder · 290 days out

    7.00

  • Min-jae Kim

    Defender · 265 days out

    6.60

Trinidad and Tobago · key absences

No notable absences reported

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Beyond Match Outcome

Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.

Corners

Expected total
11.4expected corners
Home 8.7Away 2.6
Over 9.5 corners70%
Over 10.5 corners58%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

Cards

Expected total
3.4expected cards
Average ref
Home 1.4Away 2.1
Over 4.5 cards26%
Over 5.5 cards13%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Each bubble = one player. Size scales with the SPX shot-quality estimate.

South KoreaTrinidad and Tobago
0123450'15'30'45'60'75'90'Minutes playedShots2Son Heung-Min (F) — 4 shots, 3 on target, 2 goals, est. SPX xG 0.582Cho Gue-Sung (F) — 4 shots, 4 on target, 2 goals, est. SPX xG 0.72Hwang In-Beom (M) — 2 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.22Paik Seung-Ho (M) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.18Bae Joon-Ho (F) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.181Hwang Hee-Chan (F) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.18Player #0 (M) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.18
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Pass Network

Pass volume vs completion rate. Bubble size scales with minutes played.

South KoreaTrinidad and Tobago
0%25%50%75%100%020406080Passes attemptedAccuracyJo Hyeon-Woo (G) — 22 passes, 22 completed (100%), 0 keyLee Han-Beom (D) — 49 passes, 45 completed (92%), 0 keyCho Yu-Min (D) — 47 passes, 46 completed (98%), 0 keyLee Gi-Hyuk (D) — 73 passes, 69 completed (95%), 0 keyKim Moon-Hwan (M) — 33 passes, 29 completed (88%), 3 keyKim Jin-Kyu (M) — 36 passes, 32 completed (89%), 0 keyPaik Seung-Ho (M) — 47 passes, 42 completed (89%), 1 keyJens Castrop (M) — 23 passes, 19 completed (83%), 0 keyBae Joon-Ho (F) — 19 passes, 19 completed (100%), 0 keyLee Dong-Gyeong (F) — 33 passes, 29 completed (88%), 2 keySon Heung-Min (F) — 17 passes, 15 completed (88%), 1 keyLee Jae-Sung (M) — 56 passes, 51 completed (91%), 1 keyPark Jin-Seop (M) — 28 passes, 28 completed (100%), 0 keyEom Ji-Sung (F) — 10 passes, 7 completed (70%), 0 keyCho Gue-Sung (F) — 5 passes, 4 completed (80%), 0 keyHwang Hee-Chan (F) — 6 passes, 6 completed (100%), 0 keySeol Yung-Woo (D) — 21 passes, 21 completed (100%), 2 keyMin-jae Kim (D) — 35 passes, 32 completed (91%), 0 keyHwang In-Beom (M) — 23 passes, 20 completed (87%), 1 keyPlayer #575304 (G) — 18 passes, 11 completed (61%), 0 keyD. Payne (D) — 15 passes, 12 completed (80%), 0 keyK. Henry (D) — 47 passes, 40 completed (85%), 0 keyK. Ngwenya (D) — 32 passes, 26 completed (81%), 0 keyPlayer #71349 (D) — 15 passes, 13 completed (87%), 0 keyD. Phillips (M) — 27 passes, 21 completed (78%), 0 keyPlayer #301326 (M) — 16 passes, 13 completed (81%), 0 keyD. Sealy (M) — 9 passes, 9 completed (100%), 0 keyM. Khan (M) — 9 passes, 7 completed (78%), 1 keyJudah García (M) — 7 passes, 6 completed (86%), 0 keyR. Mitchell (F) — 5 passes, 3 completed (60%), 0 keyJ. Greene (D) — 11 passes, 9 completed (82%), 0 keyPlayer #123813 (F) — 6 passes, 5 completed (83%), 1 keyPlayer #647438 (G) — 7 passes, 3 completed (43%), 0 keyPlayer #644631 (D) — 2 passes, 2 completed (100%), 0 keyPlayer #647435 (F) — 4 passes, 2 completed (50%), 0 keyPlayer #0 (M) — 4 passes, 3 completed (75%), 0 keyPlayer #369917 (F) — 3 passes, 1 completed (33%), 0 key
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

90774ba27c0cc4b7ec2b516bfba6be92fb3684624aa7459d1cf81bed42adf28a
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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