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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1545444

FA Cup·
Buriram United crest
Buriram UnitedHOME
1:0
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Prachuap crest
PrachuapAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 12:00 UTCThammasat Stadium29°C◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 5 out of 5 confidence

Home

Buriram United

84%

Draw

Draw

10%

Away

Prachuap

6%

Model call: Buriram United

Expected goals: 1.8—0.3(total 2.1)
Upset risk: 1/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Buriram United

1

FT

Prachuap

0

Model called (T−24h)

Buriram United (84%)

Actually happened

Buriram United (84%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Buriram United

  1. N. Etheridge
  2. K. Schindler
  3. Go Myeong-Seok
  4. C. Good
  5. Player 48912
  6. R. Žulj
  7. K. Dougall
  8. Player 33006
  9. Player 48924
  10. Bissoli
  11. S. Mueanta

Prachuap

  1. Player 332566
  2. Player 333710
  3. J. Nyholm
  4. Player 9708
  5. Bernardo Vilar
  6. Player 60189
  7. Player 49288
  8. Player 100732
  9. K. Tsukagawa
  10. Édgar Méndez
  11. Lee Jung-Hyub

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Key absentees and how unbalanced the missing-star count is between sides.

Buriram United
0stars missing
Prachuap
0stars missing

Buriram United · key absences

No notable absences reported

Prachuap · key absences

No notable absences reported

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Beyond Match Outcome

Forward-looking analytics on corners and cards — beyond the 1X2 result market.

Corners

Expected total
9.8expected corners
Home 6.3Away 3.6
Over 9.5 corners52%
Over 10.5 corners40%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

Cards

Expected total
4.5expected cards
Average ref
Home 2.0Away 2.5
Over 4.5 cards47%
Over 5.5 cards30%

SPX commitment — no bookmaker odds shown

SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

6cd9e41bdb16bf3a44f1418be18600deb7684598ff27c94090f4c21b9b572150
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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