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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1545676

Liga de Expansión MX·
CDS Tampico Madero crest
CDS Tampico MaderoHOME
4:2
Match Finished
HT 1-0
Tepatitlán crest
TepatitlánAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 01:00 UTCEstadio Tamaulipas◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

CDS Tampico Madero

46%

Draw

Draw

25%

Away

Tepatitlán

29%

Model call: CDS Tampico Madero

Expected goals: 1.2—0.9(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 5/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

CDS Tampico Madero

4

FT

Tepatitlán

2

Model called (T−24h)

CDS Tampico Madero (46%)

Actually happened

CDS Tampico Madero (46%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

CDS Tampico Madero

  1. Jacopo Da Riva
  2. C. González
  3. Player 554717
  4. A. Portales
  5. Player 35817
  6. Player 554719
  7. S. Flores
  8. Player 554748
  9. Player 554774
  10. Player 554721
  11. A. Escoboza

Tepatitlán

  1. G. Gutiérrez
  2. M. Pinela
  3. Player 554714
  4. Player 550191
  5. I. Domínguez
  6. Player 92477
  7. J. Reyes
  8. Player 36242
  9. Player 547514
  10. J. Venegas
  11. B. Mendoza

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

0abdbd75422e02c71eabf37f9c878bc72d7e0c75e5e1edf65c62f5f5104ac860
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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