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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1546288

Czech Liga·
Slovácko crest
SlováckoHOME
3:0
Match Finished
HT 3-0
Artis crest
ArtisAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 11:00 UTCMestsky Fotbalovy Stadion26°CRefereeStanislav Volek, Czechia◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Slovácko

52%

Draw

Draw

23%

Away

Artis

25%

Model call: Slovácko

Expected goals: 1.3—0.8(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 4/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Slovácko

3

FT

Artis

0

Model called (T−24h)

Slovácko (52%)

Actually happened

Slovácko (52%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Slovácko

3-4-2-1
  1. M. HečaG
  2. Milan RundićD
  3. V. DaníčekD
  4. Player 543959
  5. Player 125200M
  6. M. TravnikM
  7. T. KostadinovM
  8. Player 36858M
  9. Player 66203F
  10. M. HavlíkF
  11. Player 561874F

Artis

5-4-1
  1. J. BorekG
  2. Player 197598D
  3. Player 555403
  4. Player 125638D
  5. Player 362491D
  6. Dominik PlechatyD
  7. Player 417889M
  8. Player 66411M
  9. M. PospíšilM
  10. I. FombaM
  11. Q. AdediranF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Each bubble = one player. Size scales with the SPX shot-quality estimate.

SlováckoArtis
0123450'15'30'45'60'75'90'Minutes playedShotsPlayer #417889 (M) — 3 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.121T. Kostadinov (M) — 2 shots, 1 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.22Player #561874 (F) — 2 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.22Player #293316 (D) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04Milan Rundić (D) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.181M. Travnik (M) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.18Player #125200 (M) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.041Player #66203 (F) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 1 goal, est. SPX xG 0.18M. Koscelník (D) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04Dominik Plechaty (D) — 1 shots, 0 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.04Player #574314 (F) — 1 shots, 1 on target, 0 goals, est. SPX xG 0.18
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Pass Network

Pass volume vs completion rate. Bubble size scales with minutes played.

SlováckoArtis
0%25%50%75%100%020406080100Passes attemptedAccuracyM. Heča (G) — 36 passes, 27 completed (75%), 0 keyPlayer #293316 (D) — 99 passes, 93 completed (94%), 0 keyV. Daníček (D) — 21 passes, 19 completed (90%), 0 keyMilan Rundić (D) — 99 passes, 93 completed (94%), 0 keyPlayer #36858 (M) — 73 passes, 69 completed (95%), 0 keyT. Kostadinov (M) — 54 passes, 46 completed (85%), 1 keyM. Travnik (M) — 57 passes, 53 completed (93%), 2 keyPlayer #125200 (M) — 13 passes, 11 completed (85%), 1 keyM. Havlík (F) — 32 passes, 26 completed (81%), 1 keyPlayer #66203 (F) — 18 passes, 16 completed (89%), 3 keyPlayer #561874 (F) — 11 passes, 4 completed (36%), 1 keyM. Koscelník (D) — 32 passes, 29 completed (91%), 0 keyMartin Svidersky (M) — 12 passes, 11 completed (92%), 1 keyP. Juroška (M) — 11 passes, 8 completed (73%), 0 keyA. Marinelli (F) — 3 passes, 3 completed (100%), 0 keyPlayer #361492 (M) — 10 passes, 7 completed (70%), 0 keyJ. Borek (G) — 35 passes, 23 completed (66%), 0 keyDominik Plechaty (D) — 14 passes, 13 completed (93%), 0 keyPlayer #362491 (D) — 9 passes, 8 completed (89%), 1 keyPlayer #125638 (D) — 12 passes, 7 completed (58%), 0 keyJ. Štěrba (D) — 16 passes, 13 completed (81%), 1 keyPlayer #197598 (D) — 14 passes, 9 completed (64%), 0 keyI. Fomba (M) — 12 passes, 11 completed (92%), 1 keyM. Pospíšil (M) — 26 passes, 18 completed (69%), 2 keyPlayer #66411 (M) — 12 passes, 11 completed (92%), 0 keyPlayer #417889 (M) — 5 passes, 3 completed (60%), 0 keyQ. Adediran (F) — 7 passes, 6 completed (86%), 0 keyD. Samek (M) — 19 passes, 14 completed (74%), 0 keyJ. Fulnek (M) — 13 passes, 8 completed (62%), 0 keyV. Vukadinovic (F) — 7 passes, 5 completed (71%), 0 keyDaniel Toula (F) — 3 passes, 3 completed (100%), 0 key
SPX Quant EngineSPX commitment: no bookmaker odds used

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

772cc28efbbb28a83111db732003edf3b483a4334f04be124b67e65589a43785
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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