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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1546385

J2/J3 League·
Imabari crest
ImabariHOME
1:2
Match Finished
HT 1-0
FC Ryukyu crest
FC RyukyuAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 05:00 UTCArigato Service Dream27°C◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Imabari

54%

Draw

Draw

23%

Away

FC Ryukyu

23%

Model call: Imabari

Expected goals: 1.30.7(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 4/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

Imabari

1

FT

FC Ryukyu

2

Model called (T−24h)

Imabari (54%)

Actually happened

FC Ryukyu (23%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

Imabari

  1. K. Tachikawa
  2. Player 546939
  3. Player 639422
  4. Player 314530
  5. Player 555706
  6. Player 555749
  7. Y. Komai
  8. Player 280996
  9. Player 555710
  10. Player 33029
  11. K. Furuyama

FC Ryukyu

  1. Player 304937
  2. Player 109377
  3. Player 329313
  4. Player 537752
  5. Player 406349
  6. Player 406352
  7. Player 199790
  8. Player 407919
  9. Player 457165
  10. Player 33677
  11. Player 369250

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

9a936ba4a1540e70a77dfc85a10fe99b58812fd7d6f72879c77378484b8fd0a1
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.