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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1546386

J2/J3 League·
Kamatamare Sanuki crest
Kamatamare SanukiHOME
3:1
Match Finished
HT 2-0
Kitakyushu crest
KitakyushuAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 05:00 UTCPikara30°C◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 2 out of 5 confidence

Home

Kamatamare Sanuki

44%

Draw

Draw

26%

Away

Kitakyushu

30%

Lean: Kamatamare Sanuki

Expected goals: 1.1—0.9(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 5/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 1

Kamatamare Sanuki

3

FT

Kitakyushu

1

Model called (T−24h)

Kamatamare Sanuki (45%)

Actually happened

Kamatamare Sanuki (45%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Kamatamare Sanuki

  1. Player 357601
  2. Player 537725
  3. Player 639418
  4. Player 639419
  5. Player 109226
  6. Player 510528
  7. Player 537727
  8. Player 406336
  9. Player 639421
  10. Y. Goto
  11. Y. Murakami

Kitakyushu

  1. M. Sugimoto
  2. Player 639411
  3. Player 555832
  4. Player 537719
  5. Player 537782
  6. K. Kumasawa
  7. Player 409790
  8. Player 512185
  9. D. Takahashi
  10. Player 357592
  11. Player 641267

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

3adcbbcb7ac1b75ad2aa278e66469a642f707f2b9accaaf7300dd0f54d9c546c
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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