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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1546388

J2/J3 League·
Thespakusatsu Gunma crest
Thespakusatsu GunmaHOME
0:1
Match Finished
HT 0-1
FC Gifu crest
FC GifuAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 05:00 UTCShoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma33°C◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 1 out of 5 confidence

Home

Thespakusatsu Gunma

37%

Draw

Draw

29%

Away

FC Gifu

34%

Lean: Thespakusatsu Gunma · close call (2pp margin)

Expected goals: 1.0—1.0(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 5/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

Thespakusatsu Gunma

0

FT

FC Gifu

1

Model called (T−24h)

Thespakusatsu Gunma (37%)

Actually happened

FC Gifu (34%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Thespakusatsu Gunma

  1. Player 537780
  2. Player 457182
  3. Player 510882
  4. Player 307991
  5. Player 404343
  6. Player 537595
  7. Player 404354
  8. Player 33221
  9. F. Mohamado
  10. Player 537662
  11. Player 33344

FC Gifu

  1. K. Suganuma
  2. Player 510518
  3. Player 33961
  4. Player 641020
  5. Player 302953
  6. Player 307979
  7. S. Nakamura
  8. Player 406337
  9. Player 537893
  10. Player 213998
  11. Player 567135

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

5c6f07b25917f181ae15512016d2374cd6624fc987947be5aa11a8db56fcb3f1
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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