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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1546390

J2/J3 League·
Tochigi SC crest
Tochigi SCHOME
0:0
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Parceiro Nagano crest
Parceiro NaganoAWAY
Sun, May 31 · 05:00 UTCKanseki Stadium Tochigi32°C◆ SPX ✗ Miss

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Home

Tochigi SC

53%

Draw

Draw

24%

Away

Parceiro Nagano

23%

Model call: Tochigi SC

Expected goals: 1.3—0.7(total 2.0)
Upset risk: 4/10

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%—48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✗ MissFinal score · graded Jun 1

Tochigi SC

0

FT

Parceiro Nagano

0

Model called (T−24h)

Tochigi SC (53%)

Actually happened

Draw (24%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Tochigi SC

  1. Player 34047
  2. Y. Yanagi
  3. Player 641035
  4. Player 641034
  5. Player 336035
  6. Player 641033
  7. Player 460251
  8. Player 353593
  9. Player 33581
  10. Player 640942
  11. Player 407920

Parceiro Nagano

  1. Player 33293
  2. Player 641107
  3. Player 537989
  4. Player 317121
  5. Player 537682
  6. Player 639260
  7. Player 199884
  8. Player 265504
  9. Player 33913
  10. Player 109228
  11. K. Fujikawa

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Lineup Absence Impact

Lineup confirmed shortly before kickoff

SPX Quant Engine

Beyond Match Outcome

Predictions not yet available for this match

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Creation Profile

Not enough recent-match history to build a shot-creation profile for these teams yet.

SPX Quant Engine

Shot Quality

Shot quality data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Pass Network

Pass network data unavailable for this fixture

SPX Quant Engine

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-09T02:36:46.517Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

740dd13ab708dc6a9b21e5069fdbc7cfe0d320a04653530391eb5922037216a4
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

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