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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1550832

Friendlies·Friendly International
Brazil U17 crest
Brazil U17HOME
1:0
Match Finished
HT 0-0
United States U17 crest
United States U17AWAY
Tue, Jun 9 · 23:00 UTC◆ SPX ✓ Hit

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Outcome Probabilities

Confidence 3 out of 5 confidence

Graded call · locked before kickoff

Brazil U17 (57%)✓ Hit

Home

Brazil U17

57%

Draw

Draw

26%

Away

United States U17

18%

Model call: Brazil U17

Expected goals: 3.30.5(total 3.8)
Upset risk: 6/10

Moderate data coverage — confidence capped at 3★

Probability Evolution

How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle

HomeDrawAway
25%50%75%48h24hPreXI30'HT60'75'
7 premium stages hidden — see the full trajectory through every information event.Upgrade
✓ HitFinal score · graded Jun 11

Brazil U17

1

FT

United States U17

0

Model called (T−24h)

Brazil U17 (58%)

Actually happened

Brazil U17 (58%)

Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

Starting XI not yet confirmed — lineups land roughly an hour before kickoff and this report updates automatically.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-08T16:30:25.671Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

32a892e57f32f006f62a0d68a075c13bc216c5fd08ef82d6c256294bfffe3f75
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.