SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1550857
◆ SPX Quant Forecast
Outcome Probabilities
Confidence 2 out of 5 confidenceGraded call · locked before kickoff
Home
Costa Rica U23
91%
Draw
Draw
8%
Away
Cuba U23
0%
Model call: Costa Rica U23
Thin data — forecast shown as free / experimental only
Probability Evolution
How model confidence shifts across the 8-stage match lifecycle
Costa Rica U23
1
Cuba U23
0
Model called (T−24h)
Draw (56%)
Actually happened
Costa Rica U23 (29%)
Verdict graded against the T-24h locked probability. Click the stage tabs above to compare how the probability evolved.
Match Analysis
Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.
SPX xG
ⓘLineup Analysis
Starting XI not yet confirmed — lineups land roughly an hour before kickoff and this report updates automatically.
Post-Match Deep Analytics
Key absences, beyond-outcome calls and per-player tactical visuals — the shot-based panels finalize from official match data after full-time.
Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is a Premium feature →
Integrity Lock
This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-10T02:59:17.218Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.
Stage hash ledger
| t24h | 2026-06-10T02:59:17.218Z | 858f307790265611a1d40d9d09e5b8ca8f763f3f246e5d9e41f1bb96273223f0 |
| halfTime | 2026-06-12T21:31:08.387Z | 47326b330f57265f17076ce61c24d662c6bc372a6ced8c71e140c532a7d7823c |
Model v4.01 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.