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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1554363

UEFA Champions League·1st Qualifying Round
Flora Tallinn crest
Flora TallinnHOME
2:3
Match Finished
HT 1-2
Saburtalo crest
SaburtaloAWAY
Wed, Jul 8 · 16:00 UTCA. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn17°CRefereeSandi Putros, DenmarkSPX: Flora TallinnMiss

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AI Match Report · Engine Read

Pre-kickoff the Engine leaned Flora Tallinn (40%) in a close call. It finished 2-3, a Saburtalo win — a miss on a fixture the model itself read as far from settled.

What we grade: only the forecast we SHA256-stamped before kickoff — the number on the public record. That was Flora Tallinn (a lean, not a strong call), so this match is a miss in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.

🔬 Post-Match Autopsy — Engine Room

The SHA-stamped call, the stage-by-stage probability path, the biggest swing moment and the calibration context behind the grade above. Unlock →

◆ Similar Matches

historical record

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

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Lineup Analysis

Flora Tallinn

4-3-3
  1. E. GrünvaldG
  2. Sander TovstikD
  3. Player 399853D
  4. M. KolobovD
  5. D. KuraksinM
  6. T. VarjundM
  7. V. KreidaM
  8. Remo ValdmetsM
  9. S. AlamaaM
  10. R. SappinenF
  11. S. ZenjovM

Saburtalo

4-3-3
  1. G. MakaridzeG
  2. J. JinjolavaD
  3. Aleksandre AmisulashviliD
  4. Vahid SelimovicD
  5. Armel Junior ZohouriD
  6. B. KardavaM
  7. N. DadianiM
  8. Player 540542M
  9. Player 87729M
  10. V. BedoshviliM
  11. Player 560516M

Lineup-strength edge unavailable for this fixture.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is an Engine Room feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-28T18:53:19.820Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

3e895aed1120d24b0b660a90d15a83f881862eea14af8ecd65dac8e63229cd8d
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.56 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.