Skip to main content
← All reports

SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1567306

World Cup·Round of 32
Mexico crest
MexicoHOME
2:0
Match Finished
HT 2-0
Ecuador crest
EcuadorAWAY
Wed, Jul 1 · 01:00 UTCEstadio Banorte, Mexico City18°CRefereeS. VincicSPX: MexicoHit
Share this cardDownload PNGPost on X →

◆ SPX Quant Forecast

Free account

Sign in to read the full archive

The full settled-report archive, SHA256 verification, match facts, the Quant Arena and your personal accuracy dashboard are free — just create an account.

Create free account

Create a free account — unlock the full settled forecast archive: the stage-by-stage probability path, score distribution and graded record for every finished match.

AI Match Report · Engine Read

48 hours out the Engine favored Mexico (55%), and the live read grew to 100% by the 75-minute checkpoint as the match bore it out. Final: 2-0, a Mexico win.

What we grade: only the forecast locked before kickoff — the number we cryptographically commit to. That was Mexico, so this match is a hit in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.

Player Performance

final match ratings

Mexico

Julián Quiñones
Julián Quiñones

F · 80'

⚽ 1🎯 1
8.3
Raúl Rangel
Raúl Rangel

G · 90'

🧤 1
7.7
César Montes
César Montes(C)

D · 90'

7.7

Ecuador

John Yeboah
John Yeboah

M · 79'

7.3
Moisés Caicedo
Moisés Caicedo(C)

M · 90'

7.2
Pedro Vite
Pedro Vite

M · 90'

6.9

Official per-player match ratings from post-match data — descriptive, not a model output.

◆ Similar Matches

historical record

Match Analysis

Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.

SPX xG

ⓘ

Lineup Analysis

Mexico

4-3-3
  1. R. RangelG
  2. J. GallardoD
  3. J. VasquezD
  4. C. MontesD
  5. J. SanchezD
  6. L. RomoM
  7. E. LiraM
  8. G. MoraM
  9. J. QuinonesF
  10. R. JimenezF
  11. R. AlvaradoF

Ecuador

4-4-2
  1. H. GalíndezG
  2. Piero HincapieD
  3. W. PachoD
  4. J. OrdoñezD
  5. A. FrancoD
  6. N. AnguloM
  7. P. ViteM
  8. M. CaicedoM
  9. J. ZamoraM
  10. E. ValenciaF
  11. G. PlataF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-28T14:37:33.402Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

41efa76a47589b87c756844652f0b8c47ef971dbc5c74a461c9434e1415b526d
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.

How the model works →Unlock the full report →