SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1567308
◆ SPX Quant Forecast
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Penalty Shootout
decided on penaltiesBalls= penalties converted (final tally). The kick-by-kick order wasn't published for this shootout, so the round-by-round sequence and per-kicker takers are unavailable.
AI Match Report · Engine Read
48 hours out the Engine called a Belgium win (72%), and held that read through to the whistle. Final: 3-2.
What we grade: only the forecast locked before kickoff — the number we cryptographically commit to. That was Belgium, so this match is a hit in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.
On that 99%: across matches where the Engine has read ~95%+, the favorite goes on to win ≈98% of the time. This was one of the rare late swings that didn't.
Player Performance
final match ratingsBelgium
Senegal
Official per-player match ratings from post-match data — descriptive, not a model output.
◆ Similar Matches
historical recordMatch Analysis
Timeline, stats, lineups, player ratings and AI insights — live during the match.
SPX xG
ⓘLineup Analysis
Belgium
4-2-3-1Thibaut CourtoisG
Maxim De CuyperD
Arthur TheateD
Brandon MecheleD
Timothy CastagneD
Hans VanakenM
Youri TielemansM
Jérémy DokuM
Kevin De BruyneM
Leandro TrossardM
Charles De KetelaereF
Senegal
4-3-3Mory DiawG
I. JakobsD
M. NiakhateD
P. CissD
K. DiattaD
P. GueyeM
I. GueyeM
Habib DiarraM
S. ManéF
I. SarrF
I. NdiayeF
Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.
Post-Match Deep Analytics
Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.
Integrity Lock
This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-28T14:37:44.427Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.
Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.