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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1567824

World Cup·Round of 16
Canada crest
CanadaHOME
0:3
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Morocco crest
MoroccoAWAY
Sat, Jul 4 · 17:00 UTCNRG Stadium, Houston34°CRefereeMichael Oliver, England

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AI Match Report · Engine Read

24 hours out the Engine leaned Canada (41%) in a close call. It finished 0-3, a Morocco win — a miss on a fixture the model itself read as far from settled.

What we grade: only the forecast we SHA256-stamped before kickoff — the number on the public record. That was Canada (a lean, not a strong call), so this match is a miss in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

Canada

4-4-2
  1. M. CrepeauG
  2. R. LaryeaD
  3. L. De FougerollesD
  4. M. BombitoD
  5. A. JohnstonD
  6. A. AhmedM
  7. S. EustaquioM
  8. N. SigurM
  9. T. BuchananM
  10. T. OluwaseyiF
  11. J. DavidF

Morocco

4-2-3-1
  1. BonoG
  2. N. MazraouiD
  3. R. HalhalD
  4. I. DiopD
  5. A. HakimiD
  6. N. El AynaouiM
  7. A. BouaddiM
  8. B. El KhannoussM
  9. A. OunahiM
  10. B. DiazM
  11. I. SaibariF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is an Engine Room feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-06-30T05:12:04.486Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

11daf0c94e5af0d72f960172a95b2d0837a9ab0871b63817c9b72370d63452f5
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.