SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1570715
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AI Match Report · Engine Read
24 hours out the Engine called a Belgium win (41%), and held that read through to the whistle. Final: 1-4.
What we grade: only the forecast we SHA256-stamped before kickoff — the number on the public record. That was Belgium (a lean, not a strong call), so this match is a hit in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.
SPX xG
ⓘLineup Analysis
USA
4-3-3Matthew FreeseG
Antonee RobinsonD
Tim ReamD
Chris RichardsD
Alexander FreemanD
Malik TillmanM
Tyler AdamsM
Weston McKennieM
Christian PulišićF
Folarin BalogunF
Sergiño DestF
Belgium
4-2-3-1Thibaut CourtoisG
Maxim De CuyperD
Brandon MecheleD
Nathan NgoyD
Timothy CastagneD
Nicolas RaskinM
Amadou OnanaM
Leandro TrossardM
Youri TielemansM
Dodi LukebakioM
Charles De KetelaereF
Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.
Post-Match Deep Analytics
Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.
Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is an Engine Room feature →
Integrity Lock
This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-07-02T05:17:12.363Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.
Model v4.2 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.