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SPX Quant Engine · Match Research Note · #1576756

World Cup·Round of 16
Portugal crest
PortugalHOME
0:1
Match Finished
HT 0-0
Spain crest
SpainAWAY
Mon, Jul 6 · 19:00 UTCRefereeAnthony Taylor, England

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AI Match Report · Engine Read

24 hours out the Engine called a Spain win (38%), and held that read through to the whistle. Final: 0-1.

What we grade: only the forecast we SHA256-stamped before kickoff — the number on the public record. That was Spain (a lean, not a strong call), so this match is a hit in our published record. The in-play line is shown for transparency, never graded after the fact.

SPX xG

Lineup Analysis

Portugal

  1. D. CostaG
  2. J. CanceloD
  3. R. DiasD
  4. R. VeigaD
  5. N. MendesD
  6. VitinhaM
  7. J. NevesM
  8. P. NetoM
  9. B. FernandesM
  10. Joao FelixM
  11. C. RonaldoF

Spain

  1. Unai SimónG
  2. Pedro PorroD
  3. Pau CubarsíD
  4. Aymeric LaporteD
  5. Marc CucurellaD
  6. RodriM
  7. PedriM
  8. Lamine YamalM
  9. Dani OlmoM
  10. Alex BaenaM
  11. Mikel OyarzabalF

Both sides named an XI close to their recent baseline.

Post-Match Deep Analytics

Two lifecycle groups: pre-match signals (available before kickoff) and per-player analytics that finalize from official match data after full-time.

Shot-quality scatter · pass-success grid · key absences · expected shots · beyond-outcome calls — the full tactical deep-dive is an Engine Room feature →

Integrity Lock

This report's latest stage was generated at 2026-07-03T07:12:03.699Z and its canonical JSON hashed with SHA256 — locked at lineup confirmation. Each prior stage carries its own hash inside the corresponding tab so you can audit every step independently.

948ab3beef5adf26bedd392dbed55ce8638e8554196c4c77f36a1a97357f0549
✓ Hash verified — contents unchanged

Model v4.56 · Public beta: every published forecast is timestamped and model-versioned. When the beta period ends (June 2027), per-fixture pre-kickoff forecasts become immutable under our SHA256 audit policy.

Verify yourself via the API.