Hit rate · 2744 graded matches
53.5%
+20.2pp vs randomRandom guessing scores 33%. Always picking the home team scores ~43%. Beating both means the model is genuinely learning.
- Brier
- 0.574
- Log-loss
- 0.963
- Graded
- 2744
↓ vs 0.66 random
↓ vs 1.10 uniform
growing every match
Hit rate by league
Top 7 by accuracy · min sample 40+
Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia
65%31/48
Primera División
63%15/24
Primera AColombia
62%8/13
Veikkausliiga
61%20/33
Friendlies
61%60/99
K League 1
60%18/30
Allsvenskan
60%24/40
Vertical line = 33% random baseline.
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